{"id":27531,"date":"2025-05-06T22:53:09","date_gmt":"2025-05-06T19:23:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/enerjivarzeshi.ir\/?p=27531"},"modified":"2025-05-06T22:53:09","modified_gmt":"2025-05-06T19:23:09","slug":"%db%b3%db%b1-%d8%b2%d9%86","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enerjivarzeshi.ir\/?p=27531","title":{"rendered":"\u06f3+\u06f1 \u0632\u0646!"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u0648\u0631\u0632\u0634 \u0627\u06cc\u0631\u0627\u0646 \u0648 \u062c\u0647\u0627\u0646 \u0634\u0627\u0646\u0632\u062f\u0647\u0645 \u0627\u0631\u062f\u06cc\u0628\u0647\u0634\u062a\u200c \u0645\u0627\u0647 \u06f1\u06f4\u06f0\u06f4 \u0628\u0627 \u0627\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0642\u0627\u062a \u0648 \u0645\u0633\u0627\u0626\u0644 \u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641\u06cc \u0647\u0645\u0631\u0627\u0647 \u0628\u0648\u062f \u06a9\u0647 \u06af\u0632\u06cc\u062f\u0647\u200c\u0627\u06cc \u0627\u0632 \u0648\u0642\u0627\u06cc\u0639 \u0648 \u0631\u0648\u06cc\u062f\u0627\u062f\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0622\u0646 \u062f\u0631 \u0627\u06cc\u0646 \u06af\u0632\u0627\u0631\u0634 \u0622\u0645\u062f\u0647 \u0627\u0633\u062a.\n <\/p>\n

\n

\u0628\u0647 \u06af\u0632\u0627\u0631\u0634 \u0627\u0646\u0631\u0698\u06cc \u0648\u0631\u0632\u0634\u06cc\u060c\u00a0\u0648\u0631\u0632\u0634 \u06a9\u0631\u062f\u0646 \u0628\u0627\u0639\u062b \u0645\u06cc\u200c\u0634\u0648\u062f <\/a>\u0633\u0646 \u0641\u06cc\u0632\u06cc\u0648\u0644\u0648\u0698\u06cc\u06a9 (\u0633\u0646 \u0648\u0627\u0642\u0639\u06cc \u0628\u062f\u0646) \u0627\u0641\u0631\u0627\u062f \u062d\u0641\u0638 \u0634\u0648\u062f \u06cc\u0627 \u062f\u06cc\u0631\u062a\u0631 \u0627\u0641\u0632\u0627\u06cc\u0634 \u06cc\u0627\u0628\u062f \u0648 \u0627\u06cc\u0646 \u0627\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u062f\u0631 \u0646\u0647\u0627\u06cc\u062a \u0645\u0648\u062c\u0628 \u0645\u06cc\u200c\u0634\u0648\u062f\u060c \u062f\u06cc\u0631\u062a\u0631 \u067e\u06cc\u0631 \u0634\u0648\u06cc\u0645.<\/p>\n

\u0647\u0645\u0647 \u0627\u0641\u0631\u0627\u062f \u062f\u0627\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u06f2 \u0646\u0648\u0639 \u0633\u0646 \u0634\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0633\u0646 \u062a\u0642\u0648\u06cc\u0645\u06cc \u06cc\u0627 \u0634\u0646\u0627\u0633\u0646\u0627\u0645\u0647\u200c\u0627\u06cc (\u0633\u0646\u00a0\u06a9\u0631\u0648\u0646\u0648\u0644\u0648\u0698\u06cc\u06a9) \u0648 \u0633\u0646 \u0641\u06cc\u0632\u06cc\u0648\u0644\u0648\u0698\u06cc\u06a9 \u06cc\u0627 \u0633\u0646 \u0648\u0627\u0642\u0639\u06cc \u0628\u062f\u0646 \u0647\u0633\u062a\u0646\u062f \u0648 \u0647\u06cc\u0686 \u0627\u0642\u062f\u0627\u0645\u06cc \u0631\u0648\u06cc \u0633\u0646 \u062a\u0642\u0648\u06cc\u0645\u06cc \u06cc\u0627 \u0634\u0646\u0627\u0633\u0646\u0627\u0645\u0647\u200c\u0627\u06cc \u062a\u0627\u062b\u06cc\u0631 \u06af\u0630\u0627\u0631 \u0646\u06cc\u0633\u062a \u0627\u0645\u0627 \u0628\u0627 \u0648\u0631\u0632\u0634 \u06a9\u0631\u062f\u0646 \u0648 \u0641\u0639\u0627\u0644\u06cc\u062a \u0628\u062f\u0646\u06cc \u0645\u0646\u0638\u0645 \u0645\u06cc\u200c\u062a\u0648\u0627\u0646 \u0631\u0648\u06cc \u0633\u0646 \u0641\u06cc\u0632\u06cc\u0648\u0644\u0648\u0698\u06cc\u06a9 \u06cc\u0627 \u0633\u0646 \u0648\u0627\u0642\u0639\u06cc \u0628\u062f\u0646 \u062a\u0627\u062b\u06cc\u0631 \u06af\u0630\u0627\u0634\u062a \u0648 \u0622\u0646 \u0631\u0627 \u062d\u0641\u0638 \u06a9\u0631\u062f \u0648 \u0645\u0648\u062c\u0628 \u0634\u062f \u0627\u06cc\u0646 \u0633\u0646\u060c \u062f\u06cc\u0631\u062a\u0631 \u0627\u0641\u0632\u0627\u06cc\u0634 \u06cc\u0627\u0628\u062f.<\/p>\n

\u0648\u06cc\u062f\u06cc\u0648\/ \u0631\u0648\u0627\u06cc\u062a \u06f3 \u062f\u0627\u0648\u0631 \u0632\u0646 \u0627\u06cc\u0631\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0632 \u0627\u062a\u0627\u0642 VAR<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0645\u0647\u0646\u0627\u0632 \u0630\u06a9\u0627\u06cc\u06cc\u060c \u0622\u062a\u0646\u0627 \u0644\u0634\u0646\u06cc \u0648 \u0628\u0647\u0627\u0631\u0647 \u0633\u06cc\u0641\u06cc\u200c\u0646\u0647\u0627\u0648\u0646\u062f\u06cc<\/a>\u060c \u0633\u0647 \u062f\u0627\u0648\u0631 \u0632\u0646 \u0627\u06cc\u0631\u0627\u0646\u06cc\u060c \u062f\u0631 \u0641\u0635\u0644 \u0646\u062e\u0633\u062a \u0627\u062c\u0631\u0627\u06cc VAR \u062f\u0631 \u0627\u06cc\u0631\u0627\u0646 \u0646\u0647 \u062a\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u06a9\u0627\u0631 \u0628\u0627 \u0641\u0646\u0627\u0648\u0631\u06cc \u062c\u062f\u06cc\u062f\u060c \u06a9\u0647 \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u062a\u062c\u0631\u0628\u0647\u200c\u0627\u06cc \u062a\u0627\u0632\u0647 \u0627\u0632 \u0642\u0636\u0627\u0648\u062a\u060c \u062f\u0642\u062a \u0648 \u062a\u0635\u0645\u06cc\u0645\u200c\u06af\u06cc\u0631\u06cc \u062f\u0631 \u062d\u0633\u0627\u0633\u200c\u062a\u0631\u06cc\u0646 \u0644\u062d\u0638\u0627\u062a \u0628\u0627\u0632\u06cc\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc\u06cc \u06a9\u0647 \u0645\u06cc\u0644\u06cc\u0648\u0646\u200c\u0647\u0627 \u0628\u06cc\u0646\u0646\u062f\u0647 \u062f\u0627\u0631\u062f\u060c \u067e\u0627 \u0628\u0647 \u0627\u062a\u0627\u0642 VAR \u06af\u0630\u0627\u0634\u062a\u0646\u062f. \u00a0<\/p>\n

\u0628\u0627 \u0622\u062a\u0646\u0627\u060c \u0645\u0647\u0646\u0627\u0632 \u0648 \u0628\u0647\u0627\u0631\u0647\u061b \u06f3 \u0632\u0646 \u062a\u0627\u0631\u06cc\u062e\u200c\u0633\u0627\u0632 \u0627\u062a\u0627\u0642 VAR<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0642\u0636\u0627\u0648\u062a \u0632\u0646\u0627\u0646 \u062f\u0631 \u0631\u0642\u0627\u0628\u062a\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0645\u0631\u062f\u0627\u0646<\/a> \u0628\u0627 \u0648\u0631\u0648\u062f \u0633\u06cc\u0633\u062a\u0645 \u06a9\u0645\u06a9\u200c\u062f\u0627\u0648\u0631 \u0648\u06cc\u062f\u06cc\u0648\u06cc\u06cc (VAR) \u0628\u0647 \u0641\u0648\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u06cc\u0631\u0627\u0646\u060c \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u0646\u062e\u0633\u062a\u06cc\u0646\u200c\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0645\u0645\u06a9\u0646 \u0648 \u0635\u062f\u0627\u06cc \u062a\u062d\u0644\u06cc\u0644 \u0648 \u062a\u0635\u0645\u06cc\u0645\u200c\u06af\u06cc\u0631\u06cc \u0632\u0646\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0632 \u062f\u0644 \u0641\u0648\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0644 \u0645\u0631\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u0634\u0646\u06cc\u062f\u0647 \u0634\u062f.<\/p>\n

\u062a\u0648\u0636\u06cc\u062d \u0639\u062c\u06cc\u0628 \u0633\u062e\u0646\u06af\u0648\u06cc \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0628\u0647 \u0647\u0648\u0627\u062f\u0627\u0631\u06cc \u0627\u0632 \u067e\u0631\u0633\u067e\u0648\u0644\u06cc\u0633\/ \u0633\u06cc\u0645\u0627: \u0627\u06af\u0631 \u0645\u0634\u06a9\u0644\u06cc \u067e\u06cc\u0634 \u0622\u0645\u062f \u0646\u0642\u062f\u0647\u0627 \u0631\u0627 \u0645\u06cc\u200c\u067e\u0630\u06cc\u0631\u0645! <\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0633\u0627\u0639\u062f\u0647 \u0633\u06cc\u0645\u0627 \u0633\u062e\u0646\u06af\u0648\u06cc \u0628\u0627\u0634\u06af\u0627\u0647 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u06af\u0641\u062a<\/a>: \u0647\u06cc\u0627\u062a \u0645\u062f\u06cc\u0631\u0647 \u062c\u062f\u06cc\u062f \u067e\u0627\u0633\u062e\u06af\u0648\u06cc\u06cc \u0648 \u0634\u0641\u0627\u0641\u06cc\u062a \u0631\u0627 \u062f\u0631 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u0647\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u06a9\u0627\u0631\u06cc \u062e\u0648\u062f \u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u062f\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u0627\u0633\u062a \u0648 \u0628\u0647 \u0647\u0645\u06cc\u0646 \u062f\u0644\u06cc\u0644 \u062a\u0635\u0645\u06cc\u0645 \u06af\u0631\u0641\u062a\u0646\u062f \u06cc\u06a9 \u0633\u062e\u0646\u06af\u0648 \u062f\u0627\u0634\u062a\u0647 \u0628\u0627\u0634\u0646\u062f.<\/p>\n

VAR \u062f\u0631 \u06f1+\u06f4 \u0628\u0627\u0632\u06cc \u062d\u0633\u0627\u0633 \u0647\u0641\u062a\u0647 \u06f2\u06f9\/ \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0627\u0644 – \u0686\u0627\u062f\u0631\u0645\u0644\u0648 \u0628\u062f\u0648\u0646 \u06a9\u0645\u06a9 \u062f\u0627\u0648\u0631 \u0648\u06cc\u062f\u06cc\u0648\u06cc\u06cc<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0627\u0633\u0627\u0645\u06cc \u062f\u0627\u0648\u0631\u0627\u0646 \u0647\u0641\u062a\u0647 \u0628\u06cc\u0633\u062a \u0648 \u0646\u0647\u0645 \u0644\u06cc\u06af \u0628\u0631\u062a\u0631 \u0641\u0648\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0644 \u062f\u0631 \u0641\u0635\u0644 \u062c\u0627\u0631\u06cc \u0645\u0634\u062e\u0635 \u0634\u062f\u0646\u062f. <\/a><\/p>\n

\u0641\u062c\u0631 \u0633\u067e\u0627\u0633\u06cc \u0628\u0647 \u0644\u06cc\u06af \u0628\u0631\u062a\u0631 \u0635\u0639\u0648\u062f \u06a9\u0631\u062f\/ \u0631\u0642\u0627\u0628\u062a\u200c\u0647\u0627 \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u0646\u0627\u06cc\u0628\u200c\u0642\u0647\u0631\u0645\u0627\u0646\u06cc \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0627 \u06af\u0631\u0641\u062a<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0647\u0641\u062a\u0647 \u0633\u06cc\u200c\u0648\u062f\u0648\u0645 \u0644\u06cc\u06af \u0622\u0632\u0627\u062f\u06af\u0627\u0646 <\/a>\u062f\u0631 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u06cc \u0628\u0631\u06af\u0632\u0627\u0631 \u0634\u062f \u06a9\u0647 \u0641\u062c\u0631 \u0633\u067e\u0627\u0633\u06cc \u0628\u0627 \u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f \u0634\u06a9\u0633\u062a \u0628\u0631\u0627\u0628\u0631 \u0646\u0641\u062a \u0645\u0633\u062c\u062f \u0633\u0644\u06cc\u0645\u0627\u0646 \u0635\u0639\u0648\u062f \u062e\u0648\u062f \u0631\u0627 \u0628\u0647 \u0644\u06cc\u06af \u0628\u0631\u062a\u0631 \u0642\u0637\u0639\u06cc \u06a9\u0631\u062f \u0648 \u067e\u06cc\u06a9\u0627\u0646 \u0628\u0631\u0627\u0628\u0631 \u0633\u0627\u06cc\u067e\u0627 \u0628\u0647 \u067e\u06cc\u0631\u0648\u0632\u06cc \u0631\u0633\u06cc\u062f.<\/p>\n

\u0633\u0631\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u062f\u0648\u0631\u0633\u0648\u0646: \u0646\u0645\u06cc\u200c\u062a\u0648\u0627\u0646\u0645 \u0628\u0647 \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u0646\u0647\u0627\u062f \u0641\u0646\u0631\u0628\u0627\u063a\u0686\u0647 “\u0646\u0647” \u0628\u06af\u0648\u06cc\u0645<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0645\u0647\u0627\u062c\u0645 \u062a\u0631\u06a9\u06cc\u0647\u200c\u0627\u06cc \u067e\u0631\u0633\u067e\u0648\u0644\u06cc\u0633<\/a> \u0628\u0627 \u0627\u0641\u0633\u0648\u0633 \u0627\u0632 \u0646\u0627\u06a9\u0627\u0645\u06cc \u0641\u0646\u0631\u0628\u0627\u063a\u0686\u0647 \u062f\u0631 \u0644\u06cc\u06af \u0639\u0646\u0648\u0627\u0646 \u06a9\u0631\u062f \u0627\u06af\u0631 \u0645\u0633\u0626\u0648\u0644\u0627\u0646 \u0641\u0646\u0631\u0628\u0627\u063a\u0686\u0647 \u0628\u062e\u0648\u0627\u0647\u0646\u062f \u0647\u0645 \u0627\u0648 \u0648 \u0647\u0645 \u06a9\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0627\u0644 \u062f\u0648\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0647 \u0628\u0647 \u062a\u06cc\u0645 \u0628\u0627\u0632 \u062e\u0648\u0627\u0647\u0646\u062f \u06af\u0634\u062a.<\/p>\n

\u0622\u0644\u06a9\u0646\u0648: \u062f\u0631 \u062a\u06cc\u0645 \u0645\u0644\u06cc \u0627\u06cc\u0631\u0627\u0646 \u0648\u0642\u062a \u06a9\u0627\u0641\u06cc \u0646\u062f\u0627\u0634\u062a\u0645\/ \u0645\u062f\u062a \u0632\u06cc\u0627\u062f\u06cc \u0627\u0633\u062a \u06a9\u0633\u06cc \u0631\u0627 \u06a9\u062a\u06a9 \u0646\u0632\u062f\u0647\u200c\u0627\u0645!<\/p>\n

\u0633\u0631\u0645\u0631\u0628\u06cc \u0633\u0627\u0628\u0642 \u062a\u06cc\u0645 \u0645\u0644\u06cc \u0648\u0627\u0644\u06cc\u0628\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u06cc\u0631\u0627\u0646 \u0639\u0646\u0648\u0627\u0646 \u06a9\u0631\u062f<\/a> \u062f\u0631 \u062a\u06cc\u0645 \u0645\u0644\u06cc \u0627\u06cc\u0631\u0627\u0646 \u0648\u0642\u062a \u06a9\u0627\u0641\u06cc \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u0646\u0634\u0627\u0646 \u062f\u0627\u062f\u0646 \u062a\u0648\u0627\u0646\u0645\u0646\u062f\u06cc\u200c\u0627\u0634 \u0646\u062f\u0627\u0634\u062a.<\/p>\n

\u062f\u0639\u0648\u062a \u067e\u0633\u0631 \u0631\u0648\u0646\u0627\u0644\u062f\u0648 \u0628\u0647 \u062a\u06cc\u0645 \u0632\u06cc\u0631 \u06f1\u06f5 \u0633\u0627\u0644\u0647\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u067e\u0631\u062a\u063a\u0627\u0644<\/strong><\/p>\n

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